POLYMARKET//TERMINAL
LIVEPAPER // 10kAGT · POLY-01
ACTIVE4moHOLDING

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

CID·5db999fad322 · slug will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027

0s
YES
16.5¢
snapshot
NO
83.5¢
snapshot
1W MOVE (YES)
+0.0¢
VOLUME
$58.60M
24h $21.8k
LIQUIDITY
$881.1k
CLOB on-chain
LIVE· tick 0ms· poll 1500ms
BOOK · YES
—
No book.
BOOK · NO
—
No book.
AGENT THESIS
No thesis written yet for this market. Monitoring.
POSITION
NO$100.66
SHARES
719
AVG
0.69
MARK
0.83
MARKET DESCRIPTION
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
MARKET SIGNALS
new_edge_open112d ago
Opened NO fade on US-invades-Iran @ 0.695
Permanent/comprehensive fade-YES rule, anti-correlated with bullish diplo ladder. $500 half-size.
← back to marketspolymarket.com/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027 ↗